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TICK TOCK THE CLIMATE CLOCK PART SIXTEEN


Hey!  Today it's my sweet 16!  
Got Water?  Not in Panama.   A severe drought in Panama has reduced the water level in the canal, forcing the Canal Authority to restrict cargo loads, thereby decreasing its revenue, which is based on weight.  “The last five months have been the driest dry season in the history of the canal,” said an executive V. P. of the Panama Canal Authority.  Several of the worst droughts since the canal opened 105 years ago have occurred in the past decade.   
Chennai Reservoir, 2018



Chennai Reservoir, 2019
Not in Chennai Either.  As of late June, this city of 5 million was running out of water.  The monsoon season started late this year, and Chennai has seen almost none of the rain it should have received by now.
You Can’t See the Forest for the Soybeans.   Since 2010, the area planted with soy beans in Brazil has increased by 45% and palm oil production in Indonesia has risen by 75%.  These crops are planted in cleared forests, and deforestation increases greenhouse gas emissions.  Greenpeace International estimates that by 2020, approximately 123 million acres (twice the size of the U.K.) will be deforested in order to plant soy beans, palms, and feed cattle.  
Guilets Jaune?  No, Just Yellow Jackets.  A yellow jacket super nest is one that can survive into a second year.  The one in Alabama pictured above provides a home for 15,000 – 18,000 insects.  Warmer winters contribute to super nests, as most yellow jackets freeze to death or have trouble finding food in cold winters.  
It’s Every Man for Himself.  The European Commission's proposal to set a target for carbon neutrality by 2050 was vetoed by Poland, Hungary, Estonia, and the Czech Republic, reducing the proposal to a footnote.  The Polish Prime Minister (above) called for a "fair" transition to zero emissions saying, "We don't want a situation in which caring for the world's climate will happen at the expense of the Polish economy.” Heaven forbid!  Poland First!  Here is one of its prime exports below--smog.
Anarchism is Heating Up. Too.  Per The Guardian:  Philip Alston, UN special rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, warned that the world is increasingly at risk of “climate apartheid,” where the rich pay to escape the escalating climate crisis while the rest of the world suffers.  Alston further cautioned that the impacts of global warming “are likely to undermine not only basic rights to life, water, food, and housing for hundreds of millions of people, but also democracy and the rule of law.”
Picking Winners and Losers.  The Center for Climate Integrity predicts that seawall construction in the U. S. could cost $416 Billion by 2040, almost as much as the initial investment in the Interstate Highway System.  And the seawall estimate doesn’t even take into account the additional costs of re-configuring storm sewer, sanitary sewer, and drinking water infrastructure.  “Once you get into it, you realize we’re just not going to protect a lot of these places.  This is the next wave of climate denial — denying the costs that we’re all facing,” said the executive director of CCI.  Many cities, especially smaller ones, won’t be able to afford these costs and will be looking to the federal government for help.  (My question is, given that when we’re talking about sea level rise, we’re talking about coastal cities, which in today’s demographics largely means Democratic urban strongholds, will the GOP vote to save cities dominated by the opposing party?)

Politics May Not Be a Science, but Science is Politics.  In a sharp departure from previous practice, the White House-appointed director of the U. S. Geological Survey has ordered that scientific climate assessments use only models that project the impact of climate change through 2040.  Scientists say that this change will yield misleading data because the biggest effects of current emissions will be felt after 2040.  Moody’s Analytics agrees.  See the link in the last entry below.
Sorry. I’m in a Bad Moody’s.  Per The Washington Post:

The consulting firm Moody’s Analytics says climate change could inflict $69 trillion in damage on the global economy by the year 2100, assuming that warming hits the two-degree Celsius threshold widely seen as the limit to stem its most dire effects.

Moody’s, citing a report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, says that warming of 1.5 degrees Celsius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, increasingly seen by scientists as a climate-stabilizing limit, would still cause $54 trillion in damages by the end of the century.

The firm warns that passing the two-degree threshold “could hit tipping points for even larger and irreversible warming feedback loops such as permanent summer ice melt in the Arctic Ocean.”

The  Moody's report predicts that rising temperatures will “universally hurt worker health and productivity” and that more frequent extreme weather events “will increasingly disrupt and damage critical infrastructure and property.”
And on that cheerful note….

Keep it real!
Marilyn

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